Week 11 · HX 2026.8

Week 11 board

HASHMARK runs a single rating — HX. It starts from recruiting talent, last year’s SP+/Elo/SRS, four-year win trend, returning production, and portal net, then is refit every week from this season’s results. Full 138 FBS. AP is the last stamped poll (Week 11, Nov. 8). CFP is the committee ranking of Nov. 10.

HX No. 1

Georgia

Bulldogs · SEC · 8–1

7.25

W11 stamp

Make 12

95.0%

make-field · HX 2026.8 10k

Top 25

Full board

1Georgia8–17.25AP even
2Alabama7–26.79↑ 5 vs AP
3Miami8–15.88↑ 2 vs AP
4Notre Dame8–15.78↓ 1 vs AP
5Texas7–25.66↑ 3 vs AP
6LSU6–35.64↑ 18 vs AP
7Tennessee7–25.06↑ 2 vs AP
8Utah9–04.99↓ 6 vs AP
9Ohio State6–34.89↑ 12 vs AP
10Ole Miss6–34.68↑ 9 vs AP
11Oregon6–34.67↑ 7 vs AP
12Indiana8–14.32↓ 6 vs AP
13UCLA10–03.99↓ 9 vs AP
14Missouri6–33.83AP NR
15Boise State8–13.76↑ 2 vs AP
16Texas Tech8–13.53↓ 6 vs AP
17Iowa7–23.52↓ 1 vs AP
18BYU7–23.52↓ 6 vs AP
19Louisville6–33.51AP NR
20South Carolina6–33.50AP even
21Texas A&M4–53.18AP NR
22Houston7–33.16↓ 8 vs AP
23Arizona7–23.12↓ 1 vs AP
24Wake Forest8–13.10↓ 13 vs AP
25USC7–23.00↓ 10 vs AP

Week 11 · Autzen Stadium

Michigan at Oregon

2:30 CT · FS1

Spread gap

Oregon

79.9%

Michigan

20.1%

HASHMARK

Oregon −14.8

79.9% to win

Vegas

Oregon −10.5

Total not posted

HASHMARK Oregon −14.8 vs book Oregon −10.5 · same favorite

Open matchup

Where HX disagrees

Largest gaps versus the last stamped AP poll (Week 11, Nov. 8), against the current HX board (refit weekly).

New Mexico
27 spots lower on HX
AP 23 · HX 50
LSU
18 spots higher on HX
AP 24 · HX 6
Kentucky
14 spots lower on HX
AP 13 · HX 27
Wake Forest
13 spots lower on HX
AP 11 · HX 24
Ohio St
12 spots higher on HX
AP 21 · HX 9
USC
10 spots lower on HX
AP 15 · HX 25
UCLA
9 spots lower on HX
AP 4 · HX 13
Ole Miss
9 spots higher on HX
AP 19 · HX 10

Risers & fallers

HX rank now vs the preseason board · HX 2026.8, FINALs through Week 11.

Risers

Oklahoma St+61#90 → #29
New Mexico+48#98 → #50
Wake Forest+47#71 → #24
UNC+44#85 → #41
LA Tech+44#101 → #57

Fallers

Georgia Tech−58#39 → #97
WKU−53#62 → #115
Southern Miss−50#76 → #126
UNLV−48#37 → #85
NC State−47#33 → #80

CFP committee top 12

All CFP ranks on the board

CFP rankings · Nov. 10 (committee top 25; ESPN, NCAA.com cross-check). The committee’s order, shown beside HX rank and HASHMARK make-field odds. Not a projected bracket.

CFP	Team	Record	HX	Make 12
1	Georgia	8–1	#1	95.0%
2	Utah	9–0	#8	97.2%
3	Alabama	7–2	#2	75.5%
4	UCLA	10–0	#13	93.3%
5	Notre Dame	8–1	#4	93.9%
6	Texas	7–2	#5	19.7%
7	Miami	8–1	#3	98.2%
8	Tennessee	7–2	#7	18.6%
9	Indiana	8–1	#12	73.5%
10	BYU	7–2	#18	18.1%
11	Kentucky	7–2	#27	2.5%
12	Texas Tech	8–1	#16	52.0%

Week 10 tape

SU 36/61 is under 70% — SU FLAG. Closer 3/5 is graded only on the 5 cards with a stamped Vegas line — small sample, not under 45%, so no closer FLAG. Soft-cal FLAG stays. Graded on the pregame HX 2026.7 board; HX is refit weekly from Week 11 on.

Week 10 FINALs

SU · slate

36/61

59.0%

Closer · Vegas-lined

3/5

60.0%

SU · Top 25

10/15

66.7%

Closer · Top 25

2/2

100.0%

MAE on the 5 Vegas-lined cards: HX 21.84 / Vegas 19.80. Full-slate HX MAE 15.95 (n=61). ATS 3/5. Vegas closer 2/5. Top 25 Vegas closer 0/2.

Season W1–W10: SU 70.6% · closer 42.0%

Board flags · pregame HX 2026.7

South Florida @ East Carolina winner-flip
East Carolina −1.5 vs USF −1.5 · 17–20
HIT
Iowa @ Northwestern winner-flip
Iowa −2.3 vs NU −1.5 · 24–10
HIT
Marshall @ Georgia Southern winner-flip
Marshall −2.9 vs GASO −8.5 · 13–49
MISS